A Book and Film Blog

Friday, 2 February 2018

Oscars 2018: Predictions + Snubs

It's Oscar Season; the best time to go to the cinema ! My favourite film of the year is normally one I saw between January and March. And this is normally because those gunning for awards come out around this time a. to be eligible but b. to be remembered. So the calibre at the cinema right now is🔥

I'm still working my way through this list and hopefully will have seen everything I want to come March but, I thought I'd share my thoughts, predictions so far and those snubs !


Best Picture Nominees:

Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Should win: Lady Bird/Call Me By Your Name
Will win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Snubbed: The Big Sick.
The Big Sick should've been considered for at least 3 other categories but I'm thinking it maybe didn't have as much of an Oscar campaign as the some of the other films in this category and, it came out pretty early so I reckon they just didn't screen it to the Academy. It was certainly my favourite film of 2017 and moved me enough to write an entire review on it which despite this being a semi film blog, does not happen often.
Lead Actor Nominees:

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Should win: Timothée Chalamet
Will win: Gary Oldman/Timothée Chalamet

Now, Gary Oldman is the front-runner and under normal circumstances would win. But it would appear that the Academy forgot about those abuse allegations from his ex-wife all those years ago. I reckon James Franco would've made this list too but again the sexual harassment claims, which made headlines a few days before the Academy closed voting, may have swayed things. The Gary Oldman allegations resurfaced after and given the current climate of Hollywood today, it may sway things again.



Shouldn't the Academy be rewarding people solely for their performance? Well of course but when you give someone an award, you also make a statement about the standards, calibre and quality of the industry. So we'll see. 

Snubbed: Hugh Jackman, Logan
This may be the biggest snub this year but I wasn't really surprised. The Oscars are quite elitist and I don't think any film with a whiff of superhero would've even been screened for consideration. 

Lead Actress Nominees:

Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Meryl Streep, “The Post”

I want Meryl to win because I route for Meryl in life in general but admittedly like Denzel, its just Meryl giving a fab performance. Ugh but its been a while since she got an Oscar so like can we? can we?

Should win: Saoirse Ronan 
Will win: Frances McDormand
Snubbed: Holly Hunter, The Big Sick

Supporting Actor Nominees:

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Should win: Willem Dafoe
Will win: Sam Rockwell

Supporting Actress Nominees:

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Should win: Allison Janney
Will win: Allison Janney 

Best Director Nominees:

Dunkirk, Christopher Nolan
Get Out, Jordan Peele
Lady Bird, Greta Gerwig
Phantom Thread, Paul Thomas Anderson
The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro

Should win: Jordan Peele/Guillermo del Toro
Will win: Guillermo del Toro

Animated Feature Nominees:

The Boss Baby, Tom McGrath, Ramsey Ann Naito
The Breadwinner, Nora Twomey, Anthony Leo
Coco, Lee Unkrich, Darla K. Anderson
Ferdinand, Carlos Saldanha
Loving Vincent, Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman, Sean Bobbitt, Ivan Mactaggart, Hugh Welchman

Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco 

Adapted Screenplay Nominees:

Call Me by Your Name, James Ivory
The Disaster Artist, Scott Neustadter +Michael H. Weber
Logan, Scott Frank + James Mangold and Michael Green
Molly’s Game, Aaron Sorkin
Mudbound, Virgil Williams + Dee Rees

Should Win: Logan
Will Win: Call Me By Your Name

Original Screenplay Nominees:

The Big Sick, Emily V. Gordon + Kumail Nanjiani
Get Out, Jordan Peele
Lady Bird, Greta Gerwig
The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Martin McDonagh

Should win: The Big Sick
Will win: Lady Bird
This is by far the fiercest category this year and I think The Big Sick could win if Lady Bird wins somewhere else.

Let me know which films you loved and your predictions !


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3 comments

  1. I agree with alot of your predictions. I think the SAG and Golden Globe Awards are usually a good indication of the winners. Gary Oldman probably has it in the bag although I think Frances McDormand should get it this year. But I just loved Saoirse Ronan in Lady Bird so much. Awesome post - can't wait for this year's Oscars!

    Sophie Elizabeth
    www.popcornandglitter.co.uk

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    Replies
    1. They are! in many ways its meant the Oscar announcement has lost that element of surprise , which is why it was so nice to see Get Out popping up this year! And should be seeing Lady Bird this week and I can't wait ! Feels like I've been waiting for so long to see it!

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  2. I think Gary Oldman / the Darkest Hour is classic Oscar fare (biopic, physical transformation etc.) so I wouldn't be surprised if he got Best Actor. This year's noms have been refreshing and interesting in the main (for once!) and I was really glad to see Get Out gain so many nods :)

    Jasmine xx

    Jasmine Talks Beauty

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